Around this time in 2016, September 26th, approximately 9,500 votes had been casted for the Presidential election. Today, within the same point of the year as 2016, over 865,000 votes had already been casted for this years election. Michael McDonald, Professor at the University of Florida, runs the U.S. Elections Project and has reflected his model off of the 25 states whose early voting data is available. McDonald contributes the statistical results from the project as a sign for the excitement Americans have for the upcoming election combined with concerns stemming from both COVID-19 and the U.S. Postal Service Delay. This leaves one to wonder of the rampant rate 2020 vote casting will achieve with the consideration voting increases as election day steadily arrives.
There had been other interesting statistics uncovered with the results of McDonald’s US Elections Project. With extracting information from three states reporting party registration data; Florida, Iowa, and and North Carolina – Democrats are understood to make up the majority of early voting. With Republicans making up around 17%, Democrats consisting of approximately 54%, and Independent voters compromising 29%. Also in regards to mail-in voting, Democrats are far more likely to vote by mail largely due to the coronavirus pandemic and the risk of exposure in polling locations. With all this information in mind, it would be interesting to see the days leading up to November 3rd, and witnessing historical records with the culmination of a number of negative and unpredictable factors.
CIMA Law Group Blog 